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Home » \(6000 - 5000 = 1000\) dollars - Esdistancia

\(6000 - 5000 = 1000\) dollars - Esdistancia

📅 March 17, 2026 👤 scraface

Mar 17, 2026

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Define events:
\( T \): traditional methods
\( M \): modern methods
\( F \): crop failure
P(T) = 0.60, \quad P(M) = 0.40
P(F|T) = 0.25, \quad P(F|M) = 0.10
Use the Law of Total Probability to find \( P(F) \):
P(F) = P(F|T)P(T) + P(F|M)P(M) = (0.25)(0.60) + (0.10)(0.40) = 0.15 +...
Apply Bayes’ Theorem:
P(T|F) = \frac{P(F|T)P(T)}{P(F)} = \frac{0.15}{0.19} \approx 0.7895

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